The experiment with call scheduling has been running on refusal conversions for a while. It looks as if the experimental method works well for calls prior to the first refusal, but not after that. In retrospect, this makes sense. Refusal conversions are a different problem than establishing contact. When I presented the results to my colleagues at Survey Research Operations, they suggested that it might make more sense to try calling at times other than when the initial refusal came. This would help if we are able to contact someone else in the household who would be more cooperative. I'm thinking about how to set up a different model for this part of the process. A different problem requires a different tool...
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